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Red67
257719.4
10229.6
807513.4
Blue52
475018.2
531013.3
436120.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695702040801001201401606752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+25Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
52Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
67Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#9
29.60.4
27.527.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
red by 9.4
4361
#13
20.10.0
20.820.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
Second
2577
#14
19.40.4
16.817.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End1.0
red by 1.1
4750
#21
18.20.0
18.618.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Third
8075
#29
13.40.4
17.217.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
red by 0.1
5310
#23
13.30.0
12.612.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned