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Red67
436120.1
807513.4
549017.0
Blue67
573213.8
54388.2
4121.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644702040801001206767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
42Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
67Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#13
20.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
blue by 1.3
41
#15
21.4
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
Second
5490
#16
17.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 3.2
5732
#27
13.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
8075
#29
13.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
red by 5.2
5438
#22
8.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed