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Red99
2529.5
363740.1
257719.4
Blue71
10229.6
694511.6
704525.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8560020401001201401609971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
16Coral scored#9
56Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
66Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
99Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.11.4
35.536.9
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
red by 10.5
102
#9
29.60.6
29.830.4
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
Second
25
#12
29.51.4
26.027.4
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
red by 4.1
25.40.6
25.025.6
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.6
Third
2577
#14
19.41.4
16.417.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End1.0
red by 7.8
6945
#28
11.60.6
7.07.6
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed