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Red102
162624.4
599238.6
42822.8
Blue46
1023213.4
245817.1
813020.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946220408012014016018010246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +57
20Coral scored#4
71Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
85Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#2
10L3#1
6L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points2
102Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.61.4
32.734.2
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
red by 18.3
8130
#11
20.31.0
20.219.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Second
1626
#30
24.41.4
24.525.9
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
red by 7.2
2458
#19
17.11.0
18.717.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
428
#10
22.81.4
20.622.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.2
red by 9.4
13.41.0
16.915.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed