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Red100
589574.5
94398.3
436120.1
Blue101
219121.1
549017.0
29335.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1226350100150200100101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points23
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +23
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
36Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
18Foul points0
100Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.51.5
69.568.0
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
red by 39.3
293
#5
35.22.2
30.732.9
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Second
4361
#13
20.11.5
22.420.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
blue by 0.9
2191
#32
21.12.2
17.419.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
Third
9439
#20
8.31.5
9.37.9
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 8.7
5490
#16
17.02.2
13.415.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned