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Red116
807513.4
599238.6
140341.5
Blue97
363740.1
219121.1
29335.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96956070809010011012013014011697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+27Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points27
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
84Total teleop53
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
116Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.6
40.240.8
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
red by 1.5
40.10.2
37.938.1
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
Second
38.60.6
37.337.9
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
red by 3.4
293
#5
35.20.2
33.133.2
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Third
8075
#29
13.40.6
12.112.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
blue by 7.6
2191
#32
21.10.2
18.919.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1