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Red136
180745.9
941615.1
589559.5
Blue91
36541.6
1015715.8
255431.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135905010015020013691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+41Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
81Total teleop68
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
136Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.2
59.259.4
Auto13.5
Teleop43.5
End2.5
red by 17.9
365
#4
41.60.0
41.341.3
Auto5.8
Teleop30.3
End5.5
Second
45.90.2
45.545.7
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 14.7
31.10.0
30.830.8
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
Third
9416
#24
15.10.2
14.715.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 0.7
15.80.0
15.515.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4