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Red102
171220.0
877117.0
180745.9
Blue97
872118.6
692125.8
871412.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8653020406010012010297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
85Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
102Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.91.0
37.438.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 20.1
6921
#18
25.82.9
22.825.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
Second
1712
#10
20.01.0
14.615.6
Auto2.2
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 1.5
8721
#25
18.62.9
11.013.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Third
8771
#16
17.01.0
15.015.9
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.9
red by 4.7
8714
#32
12.22.9
13.015.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed