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Red32
871412.2
71417.7
272028.9
Blue73
255431.1
758716.3
201618.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70572040801001203273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+45
Endgame+43
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +41
5Coral scored#13
17Coral points46
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
17Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points0
32Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2720
#13
28.93.4
26.723.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.2
blue by 2.2
31.12.0
24.426.3
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
Second
714
#14
17.73.4
12.89.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.4
blue by 0.8
2016
#28
18.42.0
13.115.1
Auto2.9
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Third
8714
#32
12.23.4
16.913.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 4.0
7587
#31
16.32.0
11.313.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed