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Red84
7537.9
871412.2
81614.6
Blue67
272028.9
20320.9
872118.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67683040506080901008467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
54Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points6
84Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#2
37.91.7
34.235.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
red by 9.0
2720
#13
28.90.2
24.624.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.2
Second
816
#26
14.61.7
11.913.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 6.4
203
#19
20.90.2
18.318.0
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
8714
#32
12.21.7
12.514.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 6.3
8721
#25
18.60.2
15.315.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed