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Qual 572025 FMA District Seneca Event
Red42
181114.8
20420.6
8704-0.5
Blue99
42819.4
36541.6
941615.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4579020601001201404299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+43
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +40
8Coral scored#15
27Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
31Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
42Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
#27
20.60.0
22.3→22.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
blue by 21.0
365
#4
41.62.7
36.9→39.6
Auto5.8
Teleop30.3
End5.5
Second
1811
#15
14.80.0
17.7→17.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 4.6
428
#23
19.42.7
15.3→18.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Third
8704
#33
-0.50.0
-0.1→-0.2
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.5
End-0.3
blue by 15.6
9416
#24
15.12.7
10.6→13.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned