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Red137
272028.9
171220.0
272220.1
Blue102
20320.9
48434.7
164715.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9095050150200250137102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
20Coral scored#12
72Coral points44
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
24Processor points18
16Net points24
40Algae points42
112Total teleop86
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
137Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2720
#13
28.90.8
28.329.0
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.2
blue by 5.8
484
#12
34.70.2
34.534.7
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
Second
2722
#29
20.10.8
19.520.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End0.1
blue by 0.8
203
#19
20.90.2
20.720.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
1712
#10
20.00.8
19.420.2
Auto2.2
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 4.5
15.60.2
15.415.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4