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Red102
434237.2
125727.5
711019.2
Blue60
20320.9
48434.7
164715.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9581406012014010260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+32Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
73Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
102Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#11
37.20.1
36.937.1
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End0.8
red by 2.5
484
#12
34.70.4
34.634.1
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
Second
27.50.1
27.327.4
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
red by 6.6
203
#19
20.90.4
20.820.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
7110
#17
19.20.1
19.019.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
red by 3.7
15.60.4
15.515.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4