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Red140
851356.9
218010.4
314254.6
Blue135
22247.7
807515.6
83455.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212180100140160180200140135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
70Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#6
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
140Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.3
57.958.2
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 1.0
834
#4
55.80.4
55.155.5
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
54.60.3
55.756.0
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
red by 6.9
222
#2
47.70.4
47.147.4
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
Third
2180
#22
10.40.3
12.012.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 5.2
8075
#20
15.60.4
14.915.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3