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Red145
314254.6
858823.8
870623.1
Blue94
851356.9
531011.4
87717.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938305015020025030035014594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +22
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
74Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
36Foul points8
145Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.61.7
45.947.6
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
blue by 2.2
56.90.5
44.945.4
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
Second
8588
#15
23.81.7
18.320.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 12.4
5310
#27
11.40.9
16.417.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Third
23.12.9
19.222.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2
red by 15.8
8771
#29
7.20.5
17.017.5
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned