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Red43
807515.6
1060015.3
1006913.1
Blue86
164041.8
71424.4
862814.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2275040601001201401604386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+39
Fouls+43
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#8
20Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
0Processor points6
8Net points20
8Algae points26
28Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
2Foul points6
43Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8075
#20
15.60.7
11.412.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
blue by 26.2
41.80.9
32.733.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
Second
15.30.7
6.47.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 9.2
714
#21
24.40.9
22.523.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.1
Third
13.10.7
10.110.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.3
blue by 1.7
8628
#17
14.70.9
10.611.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned