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Red53
531011.4
858823.8
75225.9
Blue84
21919.7
68605.5
83455.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58902040801001201401605384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
32Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
53Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
752
#9
25.90.5
22.922.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End3.2
blue by 29.9
834
#4
55.80.1
47.747.8
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
8588
#15
23.80.5
21.821.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 4.1
219
#24
19.70.1
25.425.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3
Third
5310
#27
11.40.8
15.414.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
red by 6.0
6860
#32
5.50.1
9.19.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned