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Qual 362025 FMA District Warren Hills Event
Red136
428522.8
314254.6
83455.8
Blue123
167651.3
30327.0
181142.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329750150200136123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
12Processor points18
28Net points12
40Algae points30
99Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#8
9L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
136Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
55.81.2
49.5→50.6
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 4.5
1676
#11
51.31.9
46.8→48.7
Auto13.7
Teleop33.3
End4.3
Second
3142
#1
54.61.2
50.6→51.7
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
red by 12.4
1811
#10
42.21.9
30.3→32.2
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
Third
4285
#16
22.81.2
18.7→19.8
Auto4.0
Teleop15.8
End3.1
blue by 4.1
303
#26
27.03.2
17.4→20.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed