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Red104
525331.9
842227.8
329750.7
Blue89
565330.3
467430.7
858617.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1347505010015020025010489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
62Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
104Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.4
49.849.4
Auto7.7
Teleop34.7
End8.3
red by 20.0
4674
#11
30.71.0
29.730.6
Auto4.8
Teleop20.0
End5.9
Second
31.90.4
32.632.2
Auto4.4
Teleop26.0
End1.4
red by 1.7
5653
#19
30.31.0
26.627.6
Auto4.3
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Third
8422
#14
27.80.4
27.927.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End7.7
red by 10.7
17.21.0
18.419.4
Auto1.8
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned