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Red56
250328.5
327516.8
448012.8
Blue89
613226.1
525331.9
327733.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661190501001502002505689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+19
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
7Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points41
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
12Processor points0
4Net points16
16Algae points16
47Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
56Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.1
27.926.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.9
End2.1
blue by 5.4
33.91.4
35.834.3
Auto5.5
Teleop27.1
End1.3
Second
3275
#16
16.81.0
22.521.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.7
blue by 15.2
31.91.4
35.434.0
Auto4.4
Teleop26.0
End1.4
Third
4480
#20
12.81.0
14.013.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End2.3
blue by 13.3
26.11.4
30.629.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned