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Red132
329750.7
310225.5
818829.9
Blue123
288364.5
613226.1
467430.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113137050200250300350132123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+23Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
19Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +33
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
101Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#7
9L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
132Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.6
50.651.2
Auto7.7
Teleop34.7
End8.3
blue by 13.8
64.50.0
65.265.2
Auto11.9
Teleop44.1
End8.5
Second
8188
#18
29.90.6
29.830.4
Auto4.7
Teleop23.8
End1.4
blue by 0.8
4674
#11
30.70.0
31.431.4
Auto4.8
Teleop20.0
End5.9
Third
3102
#17
25.50.6
25.526.1
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 0.6
26.10.0
26.826.8
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End4.9