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Red99
467430.1
565333.8
313420.8
Blue109
327516.6
1122320.7
87662.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6910005015020025099109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
74Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
99Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#11
33.81.7
27.729.4
Auto4.2
Teleop24.1
End5.5
blue by 28.7
876
#3
62.51.4
60.962.3
Auto13.3
Teleop41.2
End7.9
Second
30.11.7
27.329.0
Auto3.7
Teleop19.9
End6.5
red by 9.4
20.72.3
10.813.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.9
End1.1
Third
3134
#23
20.81.7
18.420.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End2.4
red by 4.2
16.61.4
16.617.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned