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Red63
525330.9
288364.5
313420.8
Blue33
887823.0
331332.6
85869.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139640501002002503006333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
0Processor points6
12Net points0
12Algae points6
48Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
63Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.53.7
64.560.8
Auto11.3
Teleop43.6
End9.5
red by 31.9
3313
#14
32.62.4
34.432.0
Auto11.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Second
5253
#22
30.93.7
31.928.3
Auto4.6
Teleop25.0
End1.3
red by 7.8
23.02.4
17.314.9
Auto3.2
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Third
3134
#23
20.83.7
21.718.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End2.4
red by 11.0
8586
#24
9.82.4
17.214.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed