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Red72
525330.9
467430.1
453918.4
Blue46
842224.4
313420.8
723513.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95710501502002507246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
47Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
72Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5253
#22
30.90.5
28.327.8
Auto4.6
Teleop25.0
End1.3
red by 6.5
8422
#19
24.40.9
26.725.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End7.5
Second
30.10.5
28.227.7
Auto3.7
Teleop19.9
End6.5
red by 9.3
3134
#23
20.80.9
18.017.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Third
4539
#13
18.40.5
22.722.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
red by 4.5
7235
#16
13.90.9
14.713.8
Auto1.4
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned