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Red110
842224.4
565333.8
725763.6
Blue93
313420.8
327732.7
250332.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1436805010020025030011093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+3
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
75Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#20
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
110Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.60.9
69.168.2
Auto9.4
Teleop44.9
End9.2
red by 30.8
3277
#21
32.71.3
28.730.0
Auto6.4
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Second
5653
#11
33.80.9
28.627.7
Auto4.2
Teleop24.1
End5.5
red by 1.3
32.41.3
28.229.4
Auto4.9
Teleop24.4
End3.1
Third
8422
#19
24.40.9
25.824.9
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End7.5
red by 3.6
3134
#23
20.81.3
17.118.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed