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Red150
912643.7
861350.4
816928.9
Blue51
859536.8
942740.6
971515.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309640608012014016018020015051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+85Teleop
+99Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points7
33Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +65
20Coral scored#7
73Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
101Total teleop36
Reef
12L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +99
0Foul points0
150Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#11
50.40.7
50.150.8
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
red by 9.8
9427
#19
40.61.1
41.540.4
Auto11.4
Teleop28.9
End0.3
Second
43.70.7
43.444.1
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
red by 6.9
36.81.1
37.936.8
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Third
8169
#23
28.90.7
28.629.2
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4
red by 13.9
9715
#34
15.01.1
15.914.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8