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Red110
770945.1
850346.4
1003414.8
Blue58
859536.8
624517.3
763618.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11378406010012014016018011058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+40Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +44
16Coral scored#6
59Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
77Total teleop33
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
110Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.9
43.744.6
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
red by 9.6
36.81.3
31.730.4
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Second
45.11.5
39.641.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
red by 26.8
7636
#30
18.31.3
17.716.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
Third
14.81.5
13.014.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.1
blue by 2.4
6245
#17
17.31.3
20.719.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed