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Red40
872321.4
300820.6
588315.8
Blue126
763245.0
1039011.8
850346.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5811410015040126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+64
Endgame+76
Fouls+86
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +64
5Coral scored#18
18Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
24Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#9
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points10
40Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8723
#37
21.42.0
21.419.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.0
blue by 25.0
46.40.9
43.644.4
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
Second
3008
#29
20.62.0
16.314.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End0.2
blue by 24.3
45.01.3
43.344.6
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
Third
5883
#22
15.82.0
18.216.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.5
red by 4.0
11.81.3
9.811.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned