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Red90
800529.8
942618.4
707722.0
Blue108
99121.7
822947.8
928718.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681125010015090108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
16Coral scored#14
57Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
77Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
90Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#10
29.81.1
22.223.3
Auto6.7
Teleop18.7
End4.4
blue by 18.0
47.80.4
46.546.1
Auto10.5
Teleop29.9
End7.5
Second
7077
#39
22.01.8
17.219.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
red by 0.3
991
#23
21.70.4
19.619.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Third
9426
#40
18.41.8
16.017.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End3.2
red by 0.1
9287
#26
18.30.7
22.021.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed