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Red94
585146.4
949818.4
802217.6
Blue70
838720.4
900216.4
940625.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96792040601201409470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
76Total teleop48
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points6
94Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#13
46.40.5
42.342.8
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
red by 20.7
9406
#16
25.71.0
24.323.3
Auto2.9
Teleop15.3
End7.5
Second
9498
#45
18.40.8
16.417.3
Auto2.7
Teleop14.2
End1.5
blue by 2.0
8387
#20
20.41.6
19.718.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Third
8022
#31
17.60.8
13.714.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End1.4
red by 1.2
9002
#30
16.41.6
20.418.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed