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Red145
240346.3
940037.6
59730.2
Blue195
800529.8
441481.6
399062.4
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10117950150200250145195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+28
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +7
24Coral scored#29
87Coral points106
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
24Processor points12
16Net points16
40Algae points28
127Total teleop134
Reef
11L4#14
8L3#10
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
145Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.2
40.341.4
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.5
blue by 35.3
81.61.0
76.777.8
Auto17.3
Teleop57.0
End7.4
Second
9400
#15
37.61.2
34.335.5
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
blue by 24.8
62.41.0
55.456.5
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
Third
597
#33
30.21.2
26.327.4
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.5
red by 0.4
8005
#10
29.81.0
23.324.3
Auto6.7
Teleop18.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned