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Red168
105635.4
399062.4
242951.8
Blue111
949818.4
800529.8
442153.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1569850200168111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+57Teleop
+55Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
36Coral points21
36Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#15
76Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
116Total teleop68
Reef
13L4#6
6L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
2Foul points0
168Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.41.4
58.659.9
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
red by 8.4
53.90.7
47.648.3
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
Second
51.81.4
48.349.7
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
red by 22.0
8005
#10
29.80.7
25.025.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.7
End4.4
Third
1056
#12
35.41.4
30.131.4
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End3.3
red by 17.0
9498
#45
18.41.2
19.720.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned