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Red211
928718.3
98776.9
399062.4
Blue90
940625.7
99121.7
1018321.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19463010015025030021190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+93Teleop
+101Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points3
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +65
27Coral scored#11
97Coral points40
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
127Total teleop62
Reef
12L4#4
11L3#4
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
20Foul points0
211Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
76.91.1
74.976.0
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
red by 51.2
9406
#16
25.70.2
24.224.4
Auto2.9
Teleop15.3
End7.5
Second
62.41.1
57.558.6
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
red by 40.7
991
#23
21.70.2
19.519.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Third
9287
#26
18.31.7
18.019.7
Auto2.5
Teleop15.2
End0.7
blue by 3.1
21.50.3
17.217.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned