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Qual 652025 Las Vegas Regional
Red101
901821.5
105635.4
742532.7
Blue138
871716.5
399062.4
940037.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9314050150200101138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
18Coral scored#15
65Coral points54
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
6Processor points18
12Net points32
18Algae points50
83Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#9
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
101Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1056
#12
35.40.5
33.6→34.1
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End3.3
blue by 26.9
3990
#2
62.40.8
59.9→60.7
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
Second
7425
#21
32.70.5
27.7→28.2
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End-0.3
blue by 4.9
9400
#15
37.60.8
37.0→37.8
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
Third
9018
#19
21.50.8
18.4→19.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.8
End2.1
red by 4.9
8717
#22
16.50.8
15.2→16.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed