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Red99
1018321.5
760714.9
442153.9
Blue125
800529.8
585146.4
718323.2
26%Model gave it74%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95112608012014016018099125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+46
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +53
13Coral scored#23
47Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
57Total teleop110
Reef
5L4#12
5L3#4
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#30
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
99Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.91.2
50.451.6
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
red by 7.6
5851
#13
46.42.4
43.846.1
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
Second
21.51.8
17.519.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End8.1
blue by 8.3
8005
#10
29.82.4
25.728.1
Auto6.7
Teleop18.7
End4.4
Third
7607
#42
14.91.9
12.814.7
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End1.5
blue by 8.3
7183
#14
23.22.4
19.822.2
Auto2.4
Teleop19.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed