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Red161
138854.8
99121.7
242951.8
Blue117
940625.7
800529.8
585146.4
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154124100200161117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points17
32Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +25
21Coral scored#17
75Coral points60
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
24Processor points18
16Net points12
40Algae points30
115Total teleop90
Reef
11L4#10
7L3#3
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
161Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.7
52.953.6
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
red by 8.4
5851
#13
46.40.3
46.346.6
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
Second
51.80.7
49.950.7
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
red by 22.0
8005
#10
29.80.3
29.730.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.7
End4.4
Third
991
#23
21.70.7
19.820.5
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
blue by 4.0
9406
#16
25.70.3
25.625.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.3
End7.5