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Red123
1036818.1
742532.7
418327.1
Blue94
940625.7
800529.8
585146.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7612705010015020012394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+31Teleop
+21Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
93Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#6
3L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +29
8Foul points0
123Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7425
#21
32.71.0
30.531.5
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End-0.3
blue by 13.7
5851
#13
46.40.2
46.646.4
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
Second
4183
#11
27.11.0
24.925.9
Auto1.4
Teleop23.9
End1.8
blue by 2.7
8005
#10
29.80.2
30.029.8
Auto6.7
Teleop18.7
End4.4
Third
18.11.2
15.416.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 7.6
9406
#16
25.70.2
25.925.7
Auto2.9
Teleop15.3
End7.5