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Red178
742665.5
300922.3
399062.4
Blue168
138854.8
99121.7
242951.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178141100200250178168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points40
40Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +8
23Coral scored#23
82Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
110Total teleop102
Reef
13L4#9
8L3#10
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points0
178Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.4
65.065.3
Auto18.2
Teleop39.4
End7.8
red by 10.7
54.80.7
53.654.3
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
Second
62.40.4
61.862.2
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
red by 10.5
51.80.7
50.751.4
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
Third
3009
#18
22.30.4
21.822.2
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1
red by 0.6
991
#23
21.70.7
20.521.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4