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Red31
71620.5
646317.5
20B32.6
Blue105
279131.9
703021.5
19145.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74114020030040050060031105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20B
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto5.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
blue by 13.1
191
Unranked
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
Second
716
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
blue by 11.4
2791
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7
Third
6463
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.5
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 4.0
7030
Unranked
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto odds84%Auto odds
Coral
16%Coral odds20%Coral odds
Barge
28%Barge odds14%Barge odds