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Red109
646317.5
19145.7
304464.8
Blue131
2065.3
20B32.6
662174.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311870100300400500109131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
Unranked
64.80.0
64.864.8
Auto13.1
Teleop43.9
End7.8
blue by 9.2
6621
Unranked
74.00.0
74.074.0
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
Second
191
Unranked
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
blue by 19.6
20
Unranked
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
Third
6463
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.5
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 15.1
20B
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto5.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6