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Red37
159149.7
205327.1
25016.3
Blue9
99969.3
99979.3
99959.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118650100150200250379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
Unranked
49.70.0
49.749.7
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
red by 40.4
9995
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Second
2053
Unranked
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1
red by 17.7
9996
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
250
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
red by 7.0
9997
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End0.8