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Red7
304464.8
19145.7
646317.5
Blue0
99989.3
99999.3
99949.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15739010020025030035070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
Unranked
64.80.0
64.864.8
Auto13.1
Teleop43.9
End7.8
red by 55.4
9994
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Second
191
Unranked
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
red by 36.4
9998
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
6463
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.5
Teleop13.8
End1.2
red by 8.2
9999
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End0.8