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Red146
646317.5
19145.7
304464.8
Blue49
2791B15.9
279131.9
3044B32.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1468205010020025030035040014649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
Unranked
64.80.0
64.864.8
Auto13.1
Teleop43.9
End7.8
red by 32.4
3044B
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto6.6
Teleop21.9
End3.9
Second
191
Unranked
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
red by 13.8
2791
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7
Third
6463
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.5
Teleop13.8
End1.2
red by 1.6
2791B
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End0.9