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Red41
16018.0
27121.5
286925.9
Blue114
188021.9
964223.0
69489.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63184010015020025030041114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+75
Endgame+85
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
9Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
16Total teleop64
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
12Foul points0
41Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#16
25.92.5
34.732.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
blue by 63.7
694
#1
89.72.3
92.990.6
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
Second
271
#19
21.52.5
25.022.4
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
blue by 1.5
23.02.3
28.125.8
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Third
1601
#18
8.02.5
7.54.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End1.3
blue by 13.8
1880
#13
21.92.3
27.525.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned