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Qual 342025 NYC Robo Replay
Red119
963620.5
33330.5
341945.6
Blue84
286925.9
9998-1.8
999929.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12153010015020011984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+43Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
18Coral scored#12
66Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
90Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#2
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
119Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#5
45.60.7
44.6→45.3
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
red by 16.0
9999
#6
29.61.6
29.5→31.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
Second
333
#10
30.50.7
36.2→36.9
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End3.7
red by 4.5
2869
#16
25.91.1
29.0→30.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Third
9636
#22
20.50.7
17.1→17.8
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
red by 22.3
9998
#23
-1.81.6
-2.9→-1.3
Auto2.1
Teleop-3.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned