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Red17
964223.0
529824.2
963620.5
Blue110
691149.5
33427.7
341945.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071185015020017110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+73
Endgame+85
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points37
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +42
3Coral scored#9
9Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
9Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
0L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points8
17Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.25.5
39.934.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
blue by 25.3
49.50.4
43.543.0
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Second
23.05.5
38.332.8
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End3.0
blue by 22.6
45.60.4
38.037.5
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
Third
9636
#22
20.55.5
21.015.5
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
blue by 7.2
334
#12
27.70.4
27.326.9
Auto5.4
Teleop21.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned