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Red121
287262.5
287550.8
87131.0
Blue111
826730.0
146865.3
53318.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1591250100200300400121111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
Unranked
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
blue by 2.8
1468
Unranked
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto12.3
Teleop46.2
End6.7
Second
2875
Unranked
50.80.0
50.850.8
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
red by 20.8
8267
Unranked
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End5.2
Third
871
Unranked
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
red by 12.6
533
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto odds43%Auto odds
Coral
27%Coral odds4%Coral odds
Barge
22%Barge odds43%Barge odds