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Red52
999711.8
35834.9
445847.9
Blue118
87131.0
286925.9
35354.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112302004006008001,0001,2001,4001,60052118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
Unranked
47.90.0
47.947.9
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
blue by 6.4
353
Unranked
54.30.0
54.354.3
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
Second
358
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.9
Teleop25.0
End3.1
red by 3.9
871
Unranked
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
Third
9997
Unranked
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End1.0
blue by 14.2
2869
Unranked
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto odds83%Auto odds
Coral
2%Coral odds6%Coral odds
Barge
43%Barge odds22%Barge odds