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Red84
81038.8
27114.8
286925.9
Blue173
573663.2
287550.8
35354.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72193010030040050084173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
Unranked
38.80.0
38.838.8
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End1.5
blue by 24.4
5736
Unranked
63.20.0
63.263.2
Auto18.0
Teleop37.3
End7.9
Second
2869
Unranked
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
blue by 28.4
353
Unranked
54.30.0
54.354.3
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
Third
271
Unranked
14.80.0
14.814.8
Auto1.7
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 36.0
2875
Unranked
50.80.0
50.850.8
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto odds97%Auto odds
Coral
5%Coral odds14%Coral odds
Barge
33%Barge odds48%Barge odds