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Red71
287550.8
997011.8
445847.9
Blue88
35354.3
53318.5
35834.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114113801001201401607188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
Unranked
50.80.0
50.850.8
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
blue by 3.5
353
Unranked
54.30.0
54.354.3
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
Second
4458
Unranked
47.90.0
47.947.9
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
red by 12.9
358
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.9
Teleop25.0
End3.1
Third
9970
Unranked
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End1.0
blue by 6.7
533
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto odds73%Auto odds
Coral
16%Coral odds5%Coral odds
Barge
29%Barge odds30%Barge odds